{"id":8457,"date":"2025-04-14T09:37:20","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T07:37:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/?p=8457"},"modified":"2025-04-14T09:37:20","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T07:37:20","slug":"some-predictions-come-true","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/2025\/04\/14\/some-predictions-come-true\/","title":{"rendered":"Some predictions come true"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In the April, 1968 issue of Wireless World, there is a short article titled &#8220;P.C.M. Copes with Everything&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s interesting reading the 57-year old predictions in here. One has proven to be not-quite-correct:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>While 2<sup>7<\/sup> levels are quite adequate for telephonic speech, <\/em><br><em>2<sup>11<\/sup> or 2<sup>12<\/sup> need to be used for high quality music.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I doubt that anyone today would be convinced that 11- or 12-bit PCM would deserve the classification of &#8220;high quality&#8221;. Although some of my earliest digital recordings were made on a Sony PCM 2500 DAT machine, with an ADC that was only reliable down to about 12 or 13 bits, I wouldn&#8217;t try to pass those off as &#8220;high quality&#8221; recordings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But, towards the end of the article, it says:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>The closing talk was given by A. H. Reeves, the inventor of p.c.m. Letting his imagination take over, he spoke of a world in the not too distant future where communication links will permit people to carry out many jobs from the comfort of their homes, conferences using closed-circuit television etc. For this, he said, reliable links capable of bit rates of the order of 10<sup>9<\/sup> or 10<sup>10<\/sup> bits will be required. Light is the most probable answer.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Impressive that, in 1968, Reeves predicted fibre optic connections to our houses and the ability to sit at home on Teams meetings (or Facetime or Zoom or Skype, or whatever&#8230;)<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"384\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/pcm_1968-384x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8458\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/pcm_1968-384x1024.png 384w, https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/pcm_1968-112x300.png 112w, https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/pcm_1968.png 528w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 384px) 100vw, 384px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the April, 1968 issue of Wireless World, there is a short article titled &#8220;P.C.M. Copes with Everything&#8221; It&#8217;s interesting reading the 57-year old predictions in here. One has proven to be not-quite-correct: While 27 levels are quite adequate for telephonic speech, 211 or 212 need to be used for high quality music. I doubt [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[59,25,49],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-digital-audio","category-history","category-science"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p48hIM-2cp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8457","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8457"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8457\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8459,"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8457\/revisions\/8459"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8457"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8457"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tonmeister.ca\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8457"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}